Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 13.395705 15.662174 18.136642 21.031096 24.315868 27.919520 32.163700
2025-04-27 10.233266 13.488438 17.409100 22.439203 28.677281 36.112246 45.592227
2025-05-04 8.064910 11.707103 16.448764 22.981864 31.643111 42.613985 57.423949
2025-05-11 6.427685 10.149660 15.330540 22.910761 33.529463 47.659774 67.622700
2025-05-18 5.154078 8.792750 14.174726 22.482059 34.694470 51.651364 76.552850
2025-05-25 4.180376 7.669709 13.130532 21.982324 35.572805 55.169373 84.941757
2025-06-01 3.418888 6.725645 12.185198 21.448531 36.250869 58.340227 92.941321
2025-06-08 2.714814 5.734612 10.997044 20.340766 35.868623 59.824882 98.467961
2025-06-15 2.458286 5.498024 11.027328 21.200588 38.628210 66.210235 111.705700
2025-06-22 2.175948 5.156383 10.816120 21.603318 40.641459 71.529494 123.587764
2025-06-29 1.836272 4.631595 10.189340 21.183906 41.201054 74.522414 131.939139
2025-07-06 1.505356 4.055628 9.375508 20.311702 40.864940 75.979440 137.846729
2025-07-13 1.393759 3.971162 9.569025 21.449886 44.369313 84.365282 156.114679
2025-07-20 1.298624 3.913098 9.822990 22.764610 48.371666 93.980458 177.224684
2025-07-27 1.151581 3.692646 9.694669 23.292920 50.944947 101.284917 194.868536
2025-08-03 0.985016 3.378204 9.302881 23.217267 52.333257 106.555553 209.286358
2025-08-10 0.824126 3.034142 8.779923 22.782966 52.951247 110.437664 221.447669
2025-08-17 0.686238 2.715982 8.259820 22.277342 53.356156 113.920278 233.056534
2025-08-24 0.569661 2.426922 7.757440 21.737341 53.619685 117.123165 244.301378
2025-08-31 0.450749 2.087800 7.054377 20.616663 52.515747 117.577680 250.420197
2025-09-07 0.418397 2.045531 7.159949 21.486513 55.839834 126.947689 273.879682
2025-09-14 0.374762 1.946826 7.086526 21.893920 58.157656 134.432882 294.095544
2025-09-21 0.314214 1.758533 6.711425 21.469636 58.532434 137.980649 306.838669